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How many collisions will there be involving commercial aircraft from Feb. 6 through the end of 2025?
Plus
7
Ṁ6582026
37%
0
20%
1
14%
2
10%
3
10%
4
9%
5 or more
Includes collisions on the ground or in the air involving one or more commercial aircraft. Resolves by the end of 2025 on news reports from at least one of:
• ABC
• CBS
• NBC
• PBS
• NPR
• CNN
• Fox
• MSNBC
• Associated Press
• New York Times
• Washington Examiner
• Wall Street Journal
• New York Post
• USA Today
Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria:
Only collisions involving verifiably commercial aircraft count.
Incidents where the involved aircraft are not commercial in nature (for example, those highlighted in the referenced tweet) should be excluded from the count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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These are not commercial aircraft.
https://x.com/bnonews/status/1889127659491283432?s=46&t=UTLUQVQtiXMrPvvihxga3g
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