Will DC metro trains (all lines) have no staff onboard by 2035?
3
Ṁ40
2035
51%
chance

Background

The Washington D.C. Metro has been transitioning towards automation. In December 2024, WMATA reintroduced Automatic Train Operation (ATO) on the Red Line, with plans to expand system-wide by 2025. Despite these advancements, trains continue to have onboard operators responsible for safety and monitoring. (wmata.com) WMATA's "Fleet of the Future" initiative includes features like enhanced security and improved passenger accommodations but does not explicitly mention the removal of onboard staff. (wmata.com)

Considerations

While automation is progressing, the complete removal of onboard staff involves regulatory approvals, technological advancements, and public acceptance. Historical incidents, such as the 2009 Red Line crash, have influenced safety protocols and staffing decisions. Therefore, while automation is advancing, the timeline for achieving fully staffless operations remains uncertain.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 1, 2035, Washington D.C. Metro trains on all lines typically operate without any onboard staff, including train operators or other personnel. The resolution will be based on official announcements from the Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority (WMATA) or credible news sources confirming the absence of onboard staff. If no such confirmation is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".

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