If Manifold does not give me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year? | Manifold

If Manifold does not give me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

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4

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2030

44%

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Specifcally, the comparison is MAU's at the time of the grant compared to MAU's exactly 1 year later.

I made the title about me because I want this to reflect "people with opinions similar to mine about the correct growth strategy for Manifold to take". In practice I'd be asking for advice from several other users and it'd be more of a grassroots activity than a solo one. If Manifold provides such a grant to a group of users that includes me, I'll count that as satisfying the condition.

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So should this resolve NO already because we didn't give you the grant and our MAUs haven't doubled?

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