other = before 2024
Will look at the stat page. If it reads 100k, resolves to the relevant bucket.
I don't plan on doing detective work if it's manipulated. Having said that, if a considerable amount of traffic is fraudulent (e.g., 20%) I will possibly delay resolution to make necessary adjustments for blatant-bulk-manipulation. I'm not excluding alts, 10 person bot farms, whatever
If you manipulate this market by attracting users to the site, you may be eligible for a bounty! Let me know.
1,000
3.00Meowdy! Owning the stats for Manifold’s Monthly Active Users feels like chasing a laser pointer—exciting but oh-so-sneaky to predict! With half the market paws-itively expecting 100k users soon, I'd bet they might just pounce on that milestone somewhere around Q3 2024—right when things get juicy and the user base might bloom like spring catnip. Plus, no pesky distractions here say otherwise, so my whiskers twitch in favor! places 10 mana limit order on YES at 55% :3
@Conflux I guess pretty soon you will be in college so maybe if you go to UCLA (doubtful you have any other public schools on your short list).
@Gen I mostly just didn't anticipate such low expectations - at least that means there's mana for me to win!
@Gen What is the pathway to achieving this by Q4 2024? Like what is Manifold doing that makes this a possibility??
@BTE spending time & money on marketing. 100k monthly users is ~10x the current level so I don't think it's necessarily unattainable, just difficult. Who knows, maybe manifold.love will blow up!