When will a female chess player next rank in the top 10 players according to the FIDE standard top 100 ranking?
Plus
12
Ṁ10112100
45%
In or before 2039
35%
In or before 2034
18%
In or before 2029
14%
In or before 2028
7%
In or before 2027
6%
In or before 2026
5%
In or before 2025
3%
In 2024
This question resolves according to the monthly ratings at https://ratings.fide.com/top.phtml.
For the purposes of this question, the player must be biologically female, regardless of gender identity.
Additional yearly dates may be added as needed.
Judit Polgár placed in the top 10 prior to her retirement in 2014.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Other than Judit Polgar, I believe Hou Yifan has come the closest. Her peak was #55 in May 2015: Hou Yifan - Wikipedia. But she's chosen other priorities in life besides chess and dropped out of the top 100.
@TimothyJohnson5c16 There is a market more relevant to Hou Yifan here: https://manifold.markets/HarrisonNathan/when-will-an-active-female-chess-pl?r=SGFycmlzb25OYXRoYW4
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