Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030? | Manifold

Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030?

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4

Ṁ67

2030

71%

chance

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1W

1M

ALL

Resolve to YES if by Jan. 1, 2030, any journal with the Science or Nature family of journals announces or implements a policy in which LLMs (or another type of AI model) are used to provide peer-review feedback to authors. The LLM must provide feedback to >50% of reviewed papers (though human peer-review could still happen alongside the LLM).

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