Will LLM training costs fall 1,000x by 2028? | Manifold

Will LLM training costs fall 1,000x by 2028?

Basic

40

Ṁ2057

2028

74%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

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1,000

and

3.00

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Training what exaxtly?

Training cost for a model with with Performance equal to todays Models.

-Training cost for whatever Models are SOTA in 2028.

bought Ṁ30 YES

Compared to mid 2023? Yeah think so

Train from scratch or finetune?

Roughly $80-$1,000 to raise llamas

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