When will skywatcher.ai announce their first successful UFO retrieval?
Basic
7
Ṁ354
2026
1.9%
Before 2025-03-01
4%
Before 2025-04-01
11%
Before 2025-05-01
15%
Before 2025-06-01
16%
Before 2025-07-01
40%
Before 2025-08-01
41%
Before 2025-09-01
45%
Before 2025-10-01
50%
Before 2025-11-01
51%
Before 2025-12-01
52%
Before 2026-01-01
53%
Before 2026-02-01

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if skywatcher.ai makes a public announcement claiming a successful UFO retrieval.

The announcement must be made through official channels or verifiable media sources.

The market will resolve NO if:

No such announcement is made by each timeframe.

  • Update 2025-02-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Follow-Up Details Irrelevant:

    • The market will resolve to YES if skywatcher.ai makes a public announcement claiming a successful UFO retrieval, regardless of any follow-up details or subsequent identification steps.

    • Important: The announcement itself, made through official channels or verifiable media sources, is the sole trigger for a YES outcome.

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at what point in its retrieval can the object become identified and still resolve this market as YES

@marvingardens 😂, the important bit is theirs claim not what they actually retrieve

@FranklinBaldo That doesn't change my question, though. If they announce that they retrieved a UFO and at some point in that process identified it, can this resolve to YES?

@marvingardens such announcement is enough for this market to resolve to YES no matter the follow up

@FranklinBaldo So at the time of initial announcement, it has to still be unidentified? Or no

@marvingardens While 'unidentified' is part of the acronym UFO, this market operates on a broader understanding, treating UFOs as equivalent to UAPs. This means that even if an object is later identified, the initial status as a UFO/UAP is what matters for resolution.

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