Will NASA confirm the discovery of alien before 2026?
Basic
7
Ṁ5765
Dec 26
6%
chance

Background NASA has been actively searching for signs of extraterrestrial life through various missions and technologies, including the James Webb Space Telescope and Mars sample return missions. In 2015, NASA scientists expressed optimism about finding signs of alien life by 2025, particularly due to discoveries of water on various planets and moons. However, as of now, there is no concrete evidence of extraterrestrial life.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if NASA officially confirms the discovery of any form of extraterrestrial life (including microbial life) before January 1, 2025. The confirmation must come through official NASA channels or authorized representatives.

The market will resolve NO if:

  • NASA does not make such an announcement before January 1, 2025

  • NASA makes statements suggesting possible evidence but stops short of confirmation

  • Other space agencies or organizations (but not NASA) announce the discovery of alien life

Considerations

  • Any NASA confirmation would likely involve extensive peer review and scientific scrutiny before public announcement

  • The discovery could range from microbial life to biosignatures, not necessarily intelligent life

  • The announcement would likely involve high-level government coordination due to its significance

  • NASA's current missions are primarily focused on finding signs of basic life forms rather than intelligent alien civilizations

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bought Ṁ1,250 NO

Jan 1 2025 passed so you probably meant jan 1st 2026?

@Bayesian @KennealLamey seconded. The market doesn't make sense first of january this year. You must mean end of 2025, right?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen My bad, I edited it.

@KennealLamey You should also edit the description!

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