Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?
For This Market To Resolve YES, All Of The Terms In The Question And Their Meaning Posted Below Must Be Met. This Market Will Close At 5pm EST December 31st 2024 [11:59 PM (GMT +3)]
For This Market These Terms Mean The Following:
Bi-lateral = Must Be Between Israel & Hamas
Lasting = Minimum 10 Calendar Days
Ceasefire = A call to terminate all hostilities
Signed = Must Be An Agreement Signed By Leader(s) Of Minimum 1 Leader From Israel and 1 Leader From Hamas, May Include Negotiated Terms Between The Parties Through Third Party Nations And/Or Special Councils/Government Agencies.
Clarifications: None At This Time
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1,000
3.00From CNN's Sam Fossum
Israel said to agree in principle to Lebanon ceasefire offer, though some issues remain
(Its Not Hamas, But Shows A Ceasefire May Be Possible)
It's unclear how Sinwar's apparent killing could impact hostage negotiations, officials say
From CNN's Eugenia Yosef and Jeremy Diamond
@traders
Biden says Israel and Hamas have agreed to a cease-fire framework
President Biden put out a statement saying Israel and Hamas had agreed to a cease-fire framework but admitted "there is still work to do." NBC News' Josh Lederman has details on the proposed framework and ongoing conflict.
3K Total ; Working to get it to 10K upgrade.
It seems like there are many scenarios where the lasting ceasefire does not include being officially signed by Hamas, so this should not be equal to the other ceasefire 2024 markets.