
Will Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2025?
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Question will resolve YES if Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2025 (going by Eastern US time).
Will resolve NO if Saudi Arabia and Israel have not established official diplomatic relations by the end of 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Lower on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-in-2025
YES by 2029, but probably not by 2026 I think
@nathanwei Looks like the announcement would be "we're arming the saudis no strings attached and the israelis can go arm themselves".
Doesn't sound like normalization will happen this year: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/2/5/non-negotiable-saudi-arabia-flatly-rejects-trumps-gaza-takeover-plan
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