Will there be an Mpox pandemic by 2026?
Plus
91
Ṁ35k2026
1.5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if there is a full or partial lockdown in at least 100 countries due to Mpox or if the WHO declares an Mpox pandemic by the start of 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
How many confirmed Mpox deaths will there be by the end of 2025?
[Metaculus] Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
2% chance
How many confirmed Mpox deaths will there be by the end of 2024?
More than 100 countries with new Mpox cases in 2024, according to WHO?
2% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
42% chance
How many hundreds of thousands of mpox cases will be reported in the US from 2024 through 2025?
4% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
41% chance
Will there be another major pandemic before the end of 2030
41% chance
Will there be a new pandemic resulting in international travel restrictions by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
61% chance