
Will America remain a two-party system until February 2040?
Plus
17
Ṁ13812040
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Democrats or Republicans win every state in the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, and 2040 Presidential elections. This does not take Congressional races into account.
Faithless electors will only be included if they change the outcome of the presidential election.
The status of a candidate as a Democrat or Republican will be determined by the party, not by the candidate or media.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will America remain a two-party system until 2032?
90% chance
Will America remain a two-party system until 2050?
68% chance
Will the Democratic and Republican parties still be the two main parties by 2032?
88% chance
At any point before February 1, 2045, will there be a major third party in US politics? [read desc]
32% chance
Will both the Democratic and Republican party in the USA keep operating under the same names until the end of 2030?
92% chance
Which political party wins the US presidency in 2040?
Will there be a major change to the US political system by the end of 2035?
72% chance
In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?
68% chance
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
85% chance
Which political party wins the US presidency in 2032?