Will the US effectively abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?
Plus
27
Ṁ6642041
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Does not require strict abolition of the electoral college - methods that rely on the popular vote but still operate via the electoral college (e.g., NPVIC) result in a positive resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?
14% chance
Will the Electoral College be actually or functionally abolished before the 2032 election?
18% chance
Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
76% chance
Will more Americans support abolishing the Electoral College after the 2024 election?
67% chance
Will there be a major change to the US political system by the end of 2035?
72% chance
Will the U.S. Senate be abolished or significantly reformed by 2050?
33% chance
Will the US have an Asian president by 2041?
49% chance
Will the US abolish pennies (de facto) by 2030?
51% chance
Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?
20% chance
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
84% chance