Will the US abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?
Plus
14
Ṁ16432041
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 10/29: Requires abolition of the electoral college - methods that rely on the popular vote but still operate via the electoral college (e.g., NPVIC) do not result in a positive resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@LivInTheLookingGlass Requires abolition of the EC, so would resolve negatively. But I created / linked an alternative market that accommodates for the NPVIC.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US effectively abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?
19% chance
Will more Americans support abolishing the Electoral College after the 2024 election?
67% chance
Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
76% chance
Will the Electoral College be actually or functionally abolished before the 2032 election?
18% chance
Will the U.S. Senate be abolished or significantly reformed by 2050?
33% chance
Will there be a major change to the US political system by the end of 2035?
72% chance
Will the US have an Asian president by 2041?
49% chance
Will the US abolish pennies (de facto) by 2030?
51% chance
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
30% chance
Will there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?
77% chance