Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2075?
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2075?
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Resolves subjectively per my judgement. I will try to take into account polls/surveys and trader arguments into my resolution.
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So long as other methods of meat/meatalternative's production become more affordable and available, I think so. The idea of eating meat produced from an actual animal might seem unsanitary and unethical more broadly.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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