
Will some factory farmed animals be made incapable of experiencing any physical or psychological suffering, by 2030?
Plus
32
Ṁ19432030
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

The ACX grant results of 2024 are out. Will this team, or other efforts like it, succeed in creating factory farmed animals that don't experience pain?
It doesn't need to be through the precise mechanism mentioned here, but it should be commercially viable (can be used on actual farm animals).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@JoeC if no actual en-masse effort reduces suffering for factory farmed animals from this kind of tech, resolves NO. So if it gets outlawed but the tech exists that'd resolve NO, unless some people did it illegally anyway on a significant basis, I guess. Sorry if that's a vague or finicky criteria but what I care about in asking this question is to know whether the animals are likely to end up suffering less
Related questions
Related questions
Will meat from animals that have been bred to feel little or no suffering be commercially available by 2044?
19% chance
Will it be common knowledge that farmed fish, eggs and chicken produce more suffering than other animal products? (2050)
56% chance
Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026?
16% chance
Will there be a year, before 2030, in which *total* AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?
29% chance
Will there be a year, before 2030, in which *net* AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?
32% chance
Will there be a year, before 2040, in which *total* AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?
12% chance
Will there be a year, before 2040, in which *net* AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?
53% chance
Will factory farming have been outlawed in at least one country by 2050?
85% chance
Will factory farming still be legal in most countries by 2050?
50% chance
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2050?
70% chance