Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?
Plus
36
Ṁ19432031
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves positively if members of the effective altruism community create a university that, as an explicit mission, has values / degrees that are focused in achieving goals considered part of the effective altruism worldview.
Effective altruism need not be specifically mentioned, but I will use my subjective judgement if need be to determine whether the newly-created university is sufficiently EA-coded to merit a Yes resolution.
2023-01-07: I sold my shares and will no longer be trading in this market to avoid resolution conflict-of-interests.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?
15% chance
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
24% chance
The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.
43% chance
Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project by 2031?
49% chance
Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?
25% chance
Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?
16% chance
How much will AI advances impact EA research effectiveness, by 2030?
CEA will run an EAG in 2030
74% chance
Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$1M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?
30% chance
Will there be a head of state and/or government of a G20 country with a background in Effective Altrusim (EA) by 2035?
30% chance