
Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
Basic
11
Ṁ31732026
1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
AI safety community successfully advocates for a global AI development slowdown by December 2027
18% chance
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
34% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
18% chance
Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?
21% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
20% chance
Conditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?
13% chance
Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
88% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
11% chance
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
37% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
28% chance