Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
Basic
11
Ṁ31732026
1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
34% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
18% chance
Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?
21% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
20% chance
Conditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?
11% chance
Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
70% chance
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
37% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
41% chance
Will AI get regulated after the US president election until the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?
55% chance