If it helps, I’m currently working out terms for a 6-digit lab leak bet of my own (no guarantee this will come to fruition, most of these fall apart in the resolution criteria stage). I feel bad for not being willing to answer every possible lab leak argument going forward, but hopefully offering lab leakers a few hundred thousand dollars if I’m wrong will be a suitable consolation prize.

For now, I’m still at 90-10 zoonosis.

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-the-5d7

Will this bet, or some other bet, have both parties agree to the bet and announce it publicly, by EOY 2024?