Will I vote for Scott Alexander in the 2024 general presidential election?

Plus

Ṁ311

Jan 1

16%

chance

ALL

I hereby commit to making this single bit of information about my vote public.

Happy to entertain arguments for and against.

For policy wonks, the current platform is here: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/my-presidential-platform

My Presidential Platform

...

Edit to add: I will absolutely be betting on this market.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

3.00

8 Comments

9 Holders

17 Trades

Sort by:

Do you live in a safe state where your vote for president doesn't actually matter? That platform is funny enough that I could see an argument for voting for him if you do.

@evergreenemily As commented elsewhere I'm in NM.

Is it possible to vote for somebody who isn't on the ballot? (E.g. if you spoil your ballot by writing his name on it, does that count?)

predictedNO

@Fion IMO that's not a vote. (I am biased with my M10 hanging on this)

@HenriThunberg Writing his name on it won't spoil the ballot if he's a declared write-in candidate. See here: https://electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/resultsElectionTerminology.aspx

I think I'll ignore that and resolve YES even if he's not declared.

predictedNO

I think primaries are much more suited for protest votes than the general, particularly the democratic one. In the general election I'd rather rack up the score on the popular vote even if I'm in a safe blue state. Your call though!

What state do you live in?

@Joshua NM now. Just moved; gotta get registered.

Related questions

Related questions