Will HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
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5%
chance
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HOC is HigherOrderCO, see https://higherorderco.com. Context:
Resolution criteria:
If HOC builds the first AGI as determined a panel of 3 manifold mods without a position on this market, the market resolves YES. Resolves NO otherwise.
The market close date will be extended until an AGI is achieved.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Conditional on no one else achieving AGI first, will HOC build an AGI by September 8 2028?
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