Which AI model will first pass the Longbets version of the Turing test?
Plus
17
Ṁ4122040
8%
GPT-5
7%
GPT-6
10%
GPT-7
4%
Claude 4
71%
Resolves to the official name of the model used to officially declare the Turing Test solved, according to Longbets, or an equivalent test if Longbets no longer exists. If ambiguous, may resolve to mod consensus or N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
61% chance
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
64% chance
In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
59% chance
Will the "AI Longbets Turing Test by 2029" market go above 80% by EOY 2026?
82% chance
From which country will originate the AI that first passes Manifold AI's high quality Turing Test?
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
69% chance
What will be true of the first model to cross 1400 on lmarena.ai?
Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?
74% chance
Will any model pass an "undergrad proofs exam" Turing test by 2027?
77% chance