Question is about any current or future openAI models vs any competitor models.
If a language model exists that is undoubtedly the most accurate, reliable, capable, and powerful, that model will win. If there is dispute as to which is more powerful, a significant popularity/accessibility advantage will decide the winner. There must be public access for it to be eligible.
See previous market for more insight into my resolution plan: /Gen/will-there-be-an-ai-language-model
2024 recap: capabilities were "similar". Both Google and openAI models tied for first place on LLM Arena. OpenAI won because of their popularity/market dominance.
1,000
3.00GPT-5 loses on some metrics but it's still well within the debatable range with thinking, and it'd have to really tank its popularity advantage in the next 4.5 months to lose on mainstream market share.
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