Which living current/former US president will die first?
16
Ṁ906
2029
9%
Bill Clinton
10%
George W. Bush
1.5%
Barack Obama
23%
Donald Trump
56%
Joe Biden
0.5%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to whichever of the five living presidents dies first.

Resolution will be determined by the date of death as reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, etc.).

The market resolves to "Other" if none of the five specified presidents dies before the market creator closes it or if the market is otherwise abandoned.

If a new president is inaugurated before the death of the aforementioned 5, they'll be added to the list. Though I wouldn't expect it, future presidents will also be added after a 6th living one.

Will extend closing date if needed.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Surprised by the gap between Bill and George. Their age difference is literally in weeks or months.

In markets like these, while the tags and description make clear the thing is about the US, it will cost very few electrons to insert US into the title too

@JussiVilleHeiskanen yeah true, I really should have specified that

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules