Will the next president die while in office?
Plus
32
Ṁ43922029
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purpose of this market "next president" is the president elected in 2024 (and thus could be President Biden).
Market is not impacted if Biden dies before starting his second term - the relevant president would be the person who starts that term.
Resolves to no if the next president resigns or is removed, even if they then die before their term would have ended.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
19% chance
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
20% chance
Will the US President of the 2024-2028 term die while being the President?
17% chance
Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]
18% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
25% chance
Who will be the next world leader to die violently while in office?
Will a U.S. President die in office before 2034?
46% chance
Who will be the next (current or former) US president to die, aside from Carter?
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance
Will a president of the USA die while in office before the end of 2050
58% chance