Will a bill to eliminate or defund NPR make it to the President's desk by the end of 2025?
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2026
44%
chance

As it sounds, the bill must pass both houses of Congress, but I've elided the President's response to it to dodge any proxy questions about electoral victory there. The bill does not need to be primarily about defunding NPR - it's still YES if it's a small amendment tucked into the 15000th page of an omnibus. I will count it as YES even if the bill does not completely annul all government funding for NPR, so long as it's at least a 50% cut, or potentially if it enacts other provisions that seem intended to make it difficult for NPR to meet the conditions to receive funding, etc. (in my sole judgement).

Other sorts of operational interference might also be sufficient to trigger a practical YES to the elimination fork, but they'll have to meet a very high bar.

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bought Ṁ13 YES

The Rescissions Act of 2025 is cancels approximately $9 billion in previously approved federal funding, primarily targeting foreign aid and public broadcasting. It was passed by Congress and signed into law by President Trump on July 24, 2025. The Corporation for Public Broadcasting that runs NPR announced plans to shutter itself in January 2026.

I'm assuming that an executive order isn't enough for a yes here?

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