Will the CFPB be legislatively eliminated in 2025?
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This market will resolve as Yes if federal legislation is enacted on or before December 31, 2025, which repeals or amends the Consumer Financial Protection Act of 2010 with the effect of providing for the elimination or abolition of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau CFPB), with any effective date.
Such elimination or abolition need not occur by expiration for this market to resolve as Yes.
Leiglsation defunding or otherwise disempowering the CFPB, but not providing for its elimination or abolition, will have be insufficient to cause the market to resolve as Yes.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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