
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
Plus
142
Ṁ34k2026
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
resolves to 50% in terms of a tie.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
74% chance
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
36% chance
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record?
34% chance
will 2030 be hotter than 2023?
77% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
55% chance
Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2024?
21% chance
Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?
50% chance
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
46% chance
Will a erage earth temperature increase by more than 2 % by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will 2024 be the warmest year on record?
99% chance