Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
Plus
8
Ṁ5422027
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
resolves to 50% in case of a tie.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?
99% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
46% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
26% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?
97% chance
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
26% chance
Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?
57% chance
Will average world temperature for 2024 be higher than 2023?
97% chance
will 2030 be hotter than 2023?
70% chance
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
40% chance
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record?
26% chance