Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)? | Manifold

Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?

Plus

36

Ṁ3935

2030

12%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

It's a problem a child could understand. Still, there have been countless mathematicians "wasting their careers" attempting to solve what is beyond our grasp -- and it fundamentally comes down to understanding how the multiplicative structure of the integers interacts with the additive. This will be resolved if a proof or disproof is in a journal of high esteem by the time the clock ticks by.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

https://x.com/dmdohan/status/1870176374625054880

(11:59, 31 December 2029)

What time zone?

bought Ṁ30 YES

I think there's a pretty strong chance this will happen

There's a lot of unexplored theory in the space of directed 1-forests: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pseudoforest

Functional graphs define directed 1-forests. In the case of the collatz conjecture this involves demonstrating that the infinite graph contains only one cycle.

There's so many domains that could be connected in some way to the collatz conjecture. Proving it could unlock a whole new branch of mathematics. I think large mathematics models will significantly accelerate this exploration.

I had a go at this one a few years ago. It's an absolute pain, especially since the problem is so easy to pose

Wait guys if klaus frickin' ROTH is working on this then it's for sure gonna happen!

This is a for sure yes guys, I'm working on it.

Related questions

OpenAI discovers the first proof of the collatz conjecture before 2026

+3% 1d4% chance

By the end of year 2025, will a counter-example to the Collatz Conjecture be provided that is less than a googolplex?

Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?

Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030?

Is the Collatz conjecture true?

Will there be a trend spike for the term "collatz" before 2027?

Will the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?

Will chess be solved by year 9999?

Related questions

OpenAI discovers the first proof of the collatz conjecture before 2026

Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030?

By the end of year 2025, will a counter-example to the Collatz Conjecture be provided that is less than a googolplex?

Is the Collatz conjecture true?

Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?

Will there be a trend spike for the term "collatz" before 2027?

Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?

Will the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

Will chess be solved by year 9999?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules