
Space agency announces mission to divert asteroid 2024 YR4 before 22 Dec 2032
Basic
15
Ṁ18042032
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if any recognized space agency (NASA, ESA, JAXA, etc.) officially announces a mission specifically aimed at diverting near earth object 2024 YR4 before December 22nd 2032 Resolution will be based on official press releases or statements from the space agencies.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?
2% chance
Asteroid 2024‑YR4 Closest Approach Distance in Dec 2032
Will any organisation launch a mission with the aim of adjusting the orbit of asteroid 2024 YR4?
3% chance
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?
4% chance
Is Asteroid 2024-YR4 currently on a trajectory to hit Earth?
2% chance
Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?
3% chance
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
4% chance
Will we redirect another asteroid by April 1, 2029?
37% chance
Will astroid 2024 YR4 hit Earth?
2% chance
James Webb or Hubble telescope observes 2024 YR4 before May 1st 2025
93% chance