Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?
Plus
31
Ṁ15k2027
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://x.com/Astro_Jonny/status/1886742128199336362
To clarify - at any point on or before Dec 31, 2026, NASA gives >=50% chance of the asteroid hitting Earth
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Asteroid 2024‑YR4 Closest Approach Distance in Dec 2032
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?
4% chance
Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?
2% chance
Is Asteroid 2024-YR4 currently on a trajectory to hit Earth?
2% chance
Will any organisation launch a mission with the aim of adjusting the orbit of asteroid 2024 YR4?
3% chance
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
4% chance
Space agency announces mission to divert asteroid 2024 YR4 before 22 Dec 2032
3% chance
Will astroid 2024 YR4 hit Earth?
2% chance
Will we redirect another asteroid by April 1, 2029?
37% chance
If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?
48% chance