Will Russian forces capture Pokrovsk by 2026?
5
Ṁ480Dec 31
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Russia has full control over Pokrovsk by EOY 2025 for at least 24 contiguous hours. The primary source for resolution will be DeepStateMap, though in case of major disagreement, resolution will be deferred to a consensus of credible sources. A lack of consensus may result in a N/A resolution.
Note: If Russia captures Pokrovsk and then loses control later, this market still resolves YES.
I won't bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?
60% chance
Will Russia control Pokrovsk by May 31st, 2025
5% chance
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2028?
11% chance
Will there be an attempt of a large-scale Russian offensive by 2026?
80% chance
Will Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
49% chance
Will Russia take Poltava by EOY 2028?
23% chance
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2027?
11% chance
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2026?
6% chance