What % of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in the 2025 NYC mayoral general election?
17
Ṁ475in 12 hours
0.5%
< 30 %
0.6%
≥ 30 – < 40 %
6%
≥ 40 – < 45 %
41%
≥ 45 – < 50 %
43%
≥ 50 – < 60 %
9%
≥ 60 %
This market resolves to Zohran Mamdani’s official certified percentage of the vote in the New York City mayoral general election on November 4, 2025, as reported by the NYC Board of Elections.
Vote YES to the bucket matching his certified vote share, and NO to all others.
If Mamdani is not on the ballot, the market resolves N/A.
—
Resolution is based only on certified results, not exit polls or projections.
If recounts or delays occur, resolution waits for official certification.
Expected resolution: December 2025.
—
Related markets welcome in the comments! Please share them using the embed code.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Eric Adams Abandons Re-election Bid for Mayor of New York City - https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/28/nyregion/adams-mayor-drops-out.html
Related questions
Related questions
Zohran Mamdani Total Vote Count in 2025 NYC Mayoral Election
Which NYC boroughs will Zohran Mamdani win? (General election)
Zohran Mamdani wins NYC Mayoral general election mandate (50%)?
56% chance
Which People Will Endorse Zohran Mamdani for NYC Mayor
Zohran Mamdani wins 50%+ in NYC mayoral election?
74% chance
Will Cuomos Vote Count be closer to Mamdani or Sliwa in 2025 NYC Mayor election?
Will Chuck Schumer endorse Zohran Mamdani before the NYC mayor election?
3% chance
Who will win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
What will the margin of victory be in the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
NYC Mayor General Election vote share