Will computers know our beliefs better than ourselves in 2030?
Basic
10
Ṁ2182030
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve based on public reports a machine of similar quality to the one in this story:
https://www.mit.edu/people/dpolicar/writing/prose/text/epistemologicalNightmare.html
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
By 2025, will most well-educated people expect AI to within 10 years be better at intellectual work than 99% of humans?
20% chance
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2030? 🧠🕵️
36% chance
Will we be able to read AIs minds in 2030?
25% chance
Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?
32% chance
Will neurotechnology enable AI to predict and classify human decisions, along with their influencing factors, by 2030?
70% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
38% chance
Will AI be able to read minds by 2030?
56% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
85% chance
By 2050, will informed people significantly reduce their belief in the extent of free will they possess?
50% chance
By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?
33% chance