Will a single model achieve superhuman performance on all Atari environments by 2025? | Manifold

Will a single model achieve superhuman performance on all Atari environments by 2025?

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14

Ṁ898

2026

22%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Note: single *model*, not single *algorithm* (the latter has already been done). If I decide the model is actually many environment specific models stuck together (e.g. a hierarchical model that predicts current environment and delegates to a subagent) it will not count (a single model that *learns* a hierarchy without any inductive bias pushing it towards that *would* count, however).

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