Will a Russo-Ukrainian prisoner exchange involving at least ten (10) North Koreans occur before Q3, 2025?
Plus
8
Ṁ2043Jul 1
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-14-01 (PST): - Resolution criteria update:
The prisoner exchange must involve at least ten (10) North Koreans in a single exchange. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will at least one North Korean soldier defect to any European country before March 1, 2025?
9% chance
At least 10,000 North Korean soldiers deployed in the Russia/Ukraine war by Oct 2025
40% chance
Will there be a large prisoner exchange between Israel and Palestine by end of 2024?
3% chance
Will there be a large prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine by end of 2024?
3% chance
Will there be another exchange of 10+ prisoners between the US and Russia by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2025?
61% chance
Will any North Korean soldier defect after being deployed in Ukraine by 2026?
2% chance
North Korean troops in Ukraine by mid 2025
19% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-un meet in person in year 2025?
74% chance
Will at least 20 NK soldiers surrender to Ukraine before the end of January 2025
54% chance