Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory [polymarket]
129
Ṁ17kNov 5
2%
<0
23%
0-10%
48%
10-20%
24%
20-30%
3%
30%+
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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High quality polling Institutes (Atlas Intel) released polls from Oct30 and November 3. The race is much more tight than one might imagine (6pp gap and now 4.5 pp gap).
I am responsible for most of the correction. Either I will make a SHITTON of mana, or I'll lose quite a bit.
@FecalAbhuman "If Zohran Mamdani does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket." As far as I understood, it resovles to "<0" in this case.
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