Nobel Prize prophet identified in 2025?
8
Ṁ118Dec 31
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
Norwegian officials are investigating a possible information leak related to betting activity on Polymarket that correctly predicted the winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize hours before the official announcement. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/norway-probes-potential-insider-trading-194041145.html
Resolution
This market resolves to Yes if the legal name of Polymarket user "6741" will be known by the public by the end of 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
What will be true about the 2025 Nobel Prize Laureates ?
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Who will win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2025?
Nobel Peace Prize insider charged in 2025?
5% chance
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1% chance
Will any ai/ml researcher win a nobel prize in 2025?
6% chance
Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
10% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
29% chance
Will a thiel fellow win a nobel prize by 2055
35% chance
Will Nobel Prizes be awarded in 2060?
70% chance