Anyone can add options.
Resolves when there is widespread consensus that quantum gravity is solved, or when quantum mechanics is proven wrong. Until then, a healthy discussion of the resolution criterion is appreciated.
By trading in this market, you agree to let me be the judge for subjective matters associated with this market (e.g., what counts as "widespread consensus"). When in doubt, ask before trading.
See also
https://manifold.markets/PuckMinder/greatest-inventor-of-alltime
https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/greatest-ai-researcher-of-all-time-nQyP98QSO6
https://manifold.markets/sixtynine/greatest-mathematician-of-all-time
https://manifold.markets/ttoe/greatest-philosopher-of-all-time
https://manifold.markets/ttoe/greatest-philosophical-work-of-all
https://manifold.markets/ttoe/greatest-physics-work-of-all-time
https://manifold.markets/ttoe/greatest-biologist-of-all-time
Resolution criteria proposed by traders so far:
1. Resolves according to a poll at market close. Top 10 options will resolve to 100%, 90%, 80% ... 10%. Other options resolve to No.
Update 2025-07-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a question, the creator has clarified that this market will not necessarily resolve to a single winner.
It may resolve to percentages based on a ranking of multiple physicists, similar to how the linked "Greatest Inventor of All Time" market was resolved.
1,000
3.00It is left as an exercise for the reader to decide whether the fact Schrödinger was also a confirmed pedophile affects his greatness as a physicist, or if only his scientific accomplishments should be considered
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erwin_Schr%C3%B6dinger#Sexual_abuse_allegations
@TheAllMemeingEye Not necessarily. This one resolves to percentages according to ranking even though the title uses singular word: https://manifold.markets/PuckMinder/greatest-inventor-of-alltime
Healthy discussions on how to resolve are welcome.
@ttoe I recommend adding this passage from that market to this one's description for clarity
Resolves to a poll at market close with all options. Top 10 will resolve accordingly.
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
Everyone else resolves No.
@TheAllMemeingEye Thank you fur the suggestion. I updated the description to include this as a candidate resolution criterion. Let's see if there are other suggestions, before I fix the criterion.