Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before 2025 ends?

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13

Ṁ419

2026

80%

chance

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ALL

Pivot

50k! On day 231

I will be using the Manifold leaderboard to measure the traders, most likely.

Here is an auto updating page with daily traders.

P.S. Please check the latest version of the leaderboard available at this link, or contact me, before resolving this market (in cases where I'm inactive for 7+ days).

Graph:

The trader counter stops at midnight.

Real traders, real trading only

Related: /strutheo/will-strutheo-get-100000-traders-be

Inspired by @firstuserhere 's market /_deleted_/will-firstuserhere-walk-100000-step

Update 2025-05-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The Manifold leaderboard will be the definitive source used to measure the number of traders for resolution.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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reposted

Currently, the number on the Leaderboard is different from the one on your profile. You write you "will be using the Manifold leaderboard to measure the traders, most likely", but in the next sentence you link to your profile. Which one will count?

@4fa yeah we didn't realize they were different at the time. We are using leaderboard

@strutheo Thanks! I found out the hard way: https://manifold.markets/4fa/by-when-will-chris-strutheo-reach-8#su0i8406sna (Trying to figure out whether to N/A or to reopen with "Leaderboard" in the title.)

[Short Fuse] By when will chris (strutheo) reach 80k traders?

As of market creation, @strutheo has 78,945 traders. I will use UTC+2 / CEST for my resolutions. So if 80k traders are not reached before a given day begins according to UTC+2, the corresponding option will resolve to NO. Select "Top traders" here: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards [link preview]

62k

reposted

60/100

58%

54%

reposted

50k! On day 231

reposted

46%

reposted

40% there

reposted

35% done

leaderboard changes finished i am back at 32,922

I don't know if its just me but the total traders don't appear to update for at least a couple days.

@Gugra yes it has been frozen

reposted

🤔

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