Will Netflix release a show about Raygun before the end of 2025?
Will Netflix release a show about Raygun before the end of 2025?
Basic
13
Ṁ4632026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Raygun is the breakdance features at the recent Olympics
Resolves yes if there is a show about her or she is featured in a show about several people. IMDb credit will help confirm but is not the only way of confirming
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
It was fun to see her try to compete, but I can't see a documentary maker thinking "this is going to grab people's interest in 8 months when I have a film ready to release".
Maybe it'll have legs, but someone has to make the gamble now that it will. My gamble is that they won't.
reposted
???
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will the Netflix Bioshock adaptation release before the end of 2026?
59% chance
Will Netflix release original content based on a visual novel by the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will there be a "Netflix House" opened in the US by the end of 2025?
90% chance
Will a Netflix movie reference janus/repligate *or* Joscha Bach OR nearcyan by EOY2026?
50% chance
A Netflix live-action show will be hosted or have a main character that is AI Generated, with no actor involved, before the end of 2025
14% chance
Will a new television series produced by David Simon air before the end of 2025?
40% chance
A Screen Actor's Guild supported TV Show or Movie will list an AI in its writing credits before the end of 2025
42% chance
Will there be Netflix app for Apple Vision pro by end of 2025?
51% chance
Will Netflix be defunct by 2030?
22% chance
Will Mark Hamill appear in the Netflix One Piece adaptation before the end of 2025?
24% chance