5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly?
Plus
33
Ṁ2171Jan 1
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
reposted
the poll is 9.2% complete with >11 months to go, yet 2/3 of people think it will not make it to 500
Context:
/strutheo/do-you-think-this-poll-will-reach-5
Related questions
Related questions
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?
20% chance
How many users will weigh in on Manifold's Approval Rating (Market Index) before EOY 2024?
One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?
58% chance
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?
92% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?
51% chance
Will Manifold successfully predict the Time's Person of the Year 2024?
75% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?
56% chance
Will Manifold have multiple-choice polls by 2025?
31% chance
🗳️💭What will Manifold's Approval Rating be at end of Q4 2024? [Poll Index]
42% chance
Which manifold users will have created the most questions by EOY 2024?