
Will an island nation recognized by the UN evacuate >=50% of its people due to rising sea levels before Jan 1st 2040?
Basic
12
Ṁ2462040
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@DanMan314 if internally displaced, then let's say at least 50% of the population for at least 1 month
Related questions
Related questions
At least 50% of US citizens have been evacuated from Taiwan within a six month period before 2037
38% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before June 2025?
6% chance
United nations - will it stand by 2040?
Will Tuvalu still be habitable by 2080?
54% chance
Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
75% chance
Seaflooding of at least 5000 km^2 officially announced by a government, to reach that level by 2046
58% chance
Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030?
78% chance
Will any US state secede before 2050?
24% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before Dec 2027?
30% chance
Catastrophic decline of United Nations by 2035?
39% chance