
Will 1000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of 2025 in the USA?
Basic
13
Ṁ7632026
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves YES if 1000 or more herds are affected by the end of year, as reported by this website

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will resolve based on data through December 31, 2024
Update 2025-03-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria Clarification:
The total count of affected herds includes all herds currently affected as well as any additional herds affected by the end of 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be 100 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
80% chance
Will 25 or more states be affected by H5N1 by the end of March 2025?
28% chance
Will H5N1 have spread to multiple pig farms in 2024?
Will there be 1000 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will more than 10,000 Americans die of H5N1 bird flu by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will there be 500 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
25% chance
What percent of 100M people will die from H5N1 by end of 2025?
3% chance
Will there be more than 1,000 confirmed human cases of H5N1 bird flu in the US by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will 1000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of March 2025?
83% chance
Will 5000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of June 2025?
7% chance