♟️What will happen during the 2024 World Chess Championship? [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
29
Ṁ1738Dec 10
99%
A player loses a game on time (doesn't include not showing up to the game)
97%
three or more draws
95%
four or more draws
94%
five or more draws
84%
ruy lopez opening is played
76%
six or more draws
72%
queenside castle happens at least once per player across multiple games
61%
Pawn is captured en passant
59%
the champion wins at least once with the black pieces
58%
both players win with the black pieces
57%
Sicilian opening played at least once
56%
both players lose with the white pieces
50%
One player wins without a queen on the board while the other player has one
34%
Arbiter called during the game for reason other than draw by repetition
33%
An endgame that is a tablebase draw ends with a victory for either player (by resignation or checkmate, not by loss on time etc.)
28%
a player plays an opening with an animal name
20%
A position that has never occurred in the Lichess Masters database is reached within the first 5 moves (10 ply) in any game
17%
A player forfeits a game (for any intentional or unintentional reason)
14%
Four knights game opening is played
14%
an irregular opening is played (A00 in the opening book)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@ADings to clarify -- if a game ever reaches a tablebase draw, and later ends in a victory, then this resolves yes? E.g. if a tablebase-drawn position is reached and then one of the players blunders and gets checkmated
@ADings I guess I want to make sure that it would count for only a single position (1 ply) in the game to be a tablebase draw.
@strutheo Since this is Manifold, where stupid semantics rule the world, I'm going to put it out there that according to Wikipedia, female cats are called queens, which means that CLEARLY the Queen's Gambit opening will make this resolve YES :-)
Related questions
Related questions
Who will win the World Chess Championship 2024?
Gukesh vs Ding - Rosen score - what will happen? Weird promotions, pawn cube, castle mate? Code on github! Adding new!
Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
87% chance
Who will win the 2024 Chess World Championship?
Will a knight move to a corner square during the 2024 World Chess Championship?
20% chance
Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
How often will each opening be played in the 2024 Chess world championship [see rules].
Who will win the 2024 Champions Chess Tour?
Who will be World Chess Champion at the end of the 2020s?
Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?