Resolves yes even for an experiment, or if it's later removed. Implementation doesn't need to be exactly the same, just the core concept.
1,000
3.00I currently use multibinary markets for something similar. Example: /Mira/if-mira-trains-a-transformer-model
It kind of looks like one of those normal distributions:
I made many similar markets, and I think "linear interpolation between Fibonacci sequence starting with a custom base" or "linear interpolation between evenly-spaced multiples" could be a really good design. (depending on the quantity being predicted)
@Mira cc: @JamesGrugett in case this gives you ideas for implementation. I think you could give these buckets a custom chart type and the frontend for casual readers of markets would already be really close.
Later, you may also want a custom betting interface and AMM that allows atomic bets on multiple legs, much like how stock brokerages let you buy/sell an entire stock + option leg position in one go.
Logarithmic interpolation is really annoying to bet on without a custom interface, so I don't recommend starting with it.
@Mira Interesting. We have thought of that before, but we were never that enthused by it. Maybe it works pretty well with a few buckets, but is only a small improvement for a lot of buckets.
I think what we didn't like was that it was kind of hard to explain to traders.
