Will Hollow Knight: Silksong have a surprise release?
➕
Plus
54
Ṁ8418
2033
89%
chance

Resolves yes if, at the time Hollow Knight: Silksong releases, we've known about the upcoming release from official channels for less than 2 weeks.

Resolves N/A if silksong is cancelled.

  • Update 2025-08-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Will measure the exact number of seconds between the official announcement and the moment Silksong is playable.

    • Resolves YES if this interval is < 14243600 seconds (strictly less than 14 days); otherwise NO.

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Update: I’ll be resolving based on the number of seconds between the announcement and the moment it’s playable, under or over 14x24x3600

bought Ṁ39 YES from 75% to 78%

@spider The AI summary of this comment, in the description, is very funny. But also wrong, in a way plausibly worth editing. It replaced the x with *, this got processed into Markdown, and therefore the number in the summary is 14243600 with the third and fourth digits italicized, rather than 1209600.

@spider Starting from 10:30 ET, or the beginning of the trailer, or when the “4” appeared after “September”?

incredible. how does this shit ALWAYS happen LMAO

bought Ṁ500 YES

well that's an edge case

@Robincvgr i do think it'll be less than a literal 336 hrs?

bought Ṁ15 YES

@Robincvgr yeah if it releases like, midnight et on the 4th or something, i think this should resolve YES

@Robincvgr feels like an N/A to me, underspecified market

JGYboughtṀ300NO

This market always felt like irrational hopium to me, but given how long team cherry waited to announce that the game was delayed beyond the 1 year timespan we had before, I actually wouldn't rule out that they would make a last minute release announcement as well.

They are no longer "indie" and have to work with many official partners, I have my doubts a surprise release could be coordinated with all parties involved.

2023 release? Maybe.

Suprise release? No.

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