To mark the market as YES in 2025, these events must occur:
A formal pardon or commutation of Ghislaine Maxwell’s federal sentence must be signed by President Trumpin 2025.
For clarity:
It’s not enough for Maxwell’s attorneys or the DOJ to mention a pardon as a possibility.
Only a public, legally recorded clemency action counts—not speculation, interviews, or statements of intent.
The grant would need to appear in official clemency or executive order records or reliable media reporting confirming the action.
Unless and until such an official pardon is issued and publicly documented, the market should remain unresolved (NO).
⚠️ Summary
Trump has the legal power to pardon Maxwell but has publicly stated he has not considered doing so as of July 25, 2025.
No pardon has been issued, no formal request has been made, and no executive clemency has been granted in her case yet.